Winning Thursday could be the rubber of a five-game winning streak with very winnable games against Robert Morris and IUPUI following. 9-6 looks a hell of a lot better than 6-6.
You guys can sure score a lot. 79.1 ppg in conference is nothing to shake a stick at, especially when Calvin is the only big time surefire bucket getter. That Welage kid killed us on Thursday, he should play more.
I looked up the stat: if Welage plays over 20 minutes in a game, Wright State wins. He's scored in double figures in five of the six games he's played 22 or more minutes, all wins. In games where he attempts six or more shots from the field, Wright State is 6-2 (losses to PFW and Oakland).
As for Alex Huibregtse (yowza that's a name), Wright State is 7-1 when he plays 25 or more minutes and 11-3 when he plays 21 or more. When he attempts seven or more shots in a game, Wright State is 7-1. The PFW game is the only time he has scored in double figures and the Raiders have lost.
Reading through the game thread against us last week, I could tell you guys sniffed something, so I searched for some context and it was blatantly easy to see.
It's obvious to me that these guys are something of a lynchpin.
Conversely, I took a look at someone everyone outside of WSU was high on coming into the season - Brandon Noel.
In 10 games the Raiders have played where he has played 30 or more minutes, Wright State is 5-5. So maybe the answer is not relying on him so much. I realize we're talking about guards vs a forward, but he might be playing too much.
Amari Davis, on the other hand, is definitely someone who should be sitting more. The Raiders are 4-9 when he plays 22 or more minutes, and 0-5 if he plays 30 or more. The Raiders lost his top six games for minutes played, and all four games he attempted 15 or more shots. When he went 7-for-15 from the field and to score 17 points and 13 rebounds against Davidson (his only double-digit rebound game), they lost. Lastly, the Raiders are 2-5 when AJ Braun plays 23 minutes or more.
What this all tells me is WSU is just too thin in the post otherwise Nagy wouldn't have to play frontcourt guys so much. But then again, this is kinda true about the entire conference.
You guys know more than me, so you'll be able to tell me if this is all hogwash or not.
