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Post by raiderrunt on May 25, 2018 22:48:26 GMT -5
RPI is at 72. We would probably need an RPI of under 35 to make it as in at-large team. To get a three seed in the Regional, WSU probably needs an RPI of under 50. warrennolan.com/baseball/2018/rpi-live |
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Post by rock70 on May 26, 2018 14:07:28 GMT -5
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Post by raiderrunt on May 26, 2018 22:39:36 GMT -5
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Post by mrose on May 28, 2018 7:59:20 GMT -5
Last night the NCAA Selection committee announced the 16 regional sites for this year's tournament. We'll find out at noon (ET) today, on ESPNU, which site we are headed.
The 16 regional sites, listed in alphabetical order--not seed, with host institutions and records are as follows:
Athens, Georgia – Georgia (37-19)
Austin, Texas – Texas (37-20)
Chapel Hill, North Carolina – North Carolina (38-18)
Clemson, South Carolina – Clemson (45-14)
Corvallis, Oregon – Oregon St. (44-10-1)
Conway, South Carolina – Coastal Carolina (42-17)
DeLand, Florida – Stetson (45-11)
Fayetteville, Arkansas – Arkansas (39-18)
Gainesville, Florida – Florida (42-17)
Greenville, North Carolina – East Carolina (43-16)
Minneapolis, Minnesota – Minnesota (41-13)
Lubbock, Texas – Texas Tech (39-17)
Oxford, Mississippi – Ole Miss (46-15)
Raleigh, North Carolina – NC State (40-16)
Stanford, California – Stanford (44-10)
Tallahassee, Florida – Florida St. (43-17)
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Post by bballraider on May 28, 2018 8:36:26 GMT -5
Last night the NCAA Selection committee announced the 16 regional sites for this year's tournament. We'll find out at noon (ET) today, on ESPNU, which site we are headed. The 16 regional sites, listed in alphabetical order--not seed, with host institutions and records are as follows: Athens, Georgia – Georgia (37-19) Austin, Texas – Texas (37-20) Chapel Hill, North Carolina – North Carolina (38-18) Clemson, South Carolina – Clemson (45-14) Corvallis, Oregon – Oregon St. (44-10-1) Conway, South Carolina – Coastal Carolina (42-17) DeLand, Florida – Stetson (45-11) Fayetteville, Arkansas – Arkansas (39-18) Gainesville, Florida – Florida (42-17) Greenville, North Carolina – East Carolina (43-16) Minneapolis, Minnesota – Minnesota (41-13) Lubbock, Texas – Texas Tech (39-17) Oxford, Mississippi – Ole Miss (46-15) Raleigh, North Carolina – NC State (40-16) Stanford, California – Stanford (44-10) Tallahassee, Florida – Florida St. (43-17) D1 Baseball.com predicts us to be a 4 seed at overall 16 seeded Coastal Carolina in Conway, SC, which would put us as the top rated 4 I think. d1baseball.com/projections/2018-final-projected-field-of-64/Baseball America also has us the 4 seed facing the 16 overall seed North Carolina State in Raleigh NC, with Ohio State also in that region as a 3. www.baseballamerica.com/stories/final-college-baseball-projected-field-of-64-2018/?amphtml |
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Post by mrose on May 28, 2018 11:23:16 GMT -5
Wow. The prognosticators missed that by miles...
WSU regional #4 seed vs the OVERALL #2 Stanford. That would put us #63 on 64 team S-Curve.
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Post by raiderrunt on May 28, 2018 11:29:07 GMT -5
It is a four seed for the Raiders going out to face host Stanford. Cal State-Fullerton is the three seed playing against two seed Baylor.
This is not a good match-up. It is very tough to fly to to the West Coast and beat a top seed (and even worse the over-all two seed) on their home field. The Raiders have done better in the past, playing closer to home.
The Raiders were very close to being a three seed. Kent State playing in the stronger MAC had an RPI of 62 vs 69 for Wright State and got a three seed, even though they lost to Wright State.
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Post by Raider3G on May 28, 2018 11:42:57 GMT -5
It is a four seed for the Raiders going out to face host Stanford. Cal State-Fullerton is the three seed playing against two seed Baylor. This is not a good match-up. It is very tough to fly to to the West Coast and beat a top seed (and even worse the over-all two seed) on their home field. The Raiders have done better in the past, playing closer to home. The Raiders were very close to being a three seed. Kent State playing in the stronger MAC had an RPI of 62 vs 69 for Wright State and got a three seed, even though they lost to Wright State. Hopefully this is where past tournament and consistent regular season OOC play against top teams help. WSU is playing its best ball at the right time and is probably not intimidated at all anymore against the top clubs. Hopefully they can pull an upset or two. |
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Post by mrose on May 28, 2018 12:00:19 GMT -5
I'm thinking we're under-seeded. Maybe we are maybe we aren't. I can't get into the heads of the selection committee to understand their rationale, but when taking a cursory look at the metrics one thing stands out to me...and it's what I've been harping on the past few months. We play a very weak schedule.
WSU is the only program in the tournament that played just one single game vs. Top 50 opponents. 79.5% of our total wins came against the bottom group (RPI 151-297). Only Wagner and New Mexico State had a higher % of wins vs. G 4 opponents, BUT they also challenged themselves and played more top-50 programs.
Edit: Hartford, which we beat twice--rather handily--in the UD/WSU "invitational" accumulated 100% of their wins (26) vs G 4 opponents. However, they played 10 games (0-10) vs. top 50.
Their RPI is 150 and they're the #4 seed at #11 overall Stetson. Clearly the committee rewarded non-con strength-of schedule. Hartford's was 40... WSU 148.
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Post by raiderrunt on May 28, 2018 12:06:02 GMT -5
It is a four seed for the Raiders going out to face host Stanford. Cal State-Fullerton is the three seed playing against two seed Baylor. This is not a good match-up. It is very tough to fly to to the West Coast and beat a top seed (and even worse the over-all two seed) on their home field. The Raiders have done better in the past, playing closer to home. The Raiders were very close to being a three seed. Kent State playing in the stronger MAC had an RPI of 62 vs 69 for Wright State and got a three seed, even though they lost to Wright State. Hopefully this is where past tournament and consistent regular season OOC play against top teams help. WSU is playing its best ball at the right time and is probably not intimidated at all anymore against the top clubs. Hopefully they can pull an upset or two. To win the Regional they will pull two upsets. Th Raiders will be the underdog in every game. |
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Post by mrose on May 28, 2018 12:16:38 GMT -5
The game vs. Stanford will be televised in Prime-Time West coast. 10 PM (ET) Friday night on ESPN2.
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Post by mrose on May 28, 2018 22:20:40 GMT -5
Take it for what it's worth...
There are only 3 games the opening day nationally televised on ESPN 2.
#1 Ohio State vs South Carolina 2PM (ET)
#2 Texas A&M vs. Indiana 5PM (ET) FWIW, Temps expected to be ~105 in Austin this coming weekend.
#3 Wright State vs. Stanford 10PM (ET)...game time temp forecast to be in the 60's.
I like being in that company. Hopefully we get some good pub Friday in the earlier games as they promote the nightcap.
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Post by bballraider on May 29, 2018 10:38:35 GMT -5
The NCAA baseball selection committee doesn’t seed the whole 64 teams in the tourney, only the first 16. After that they basically break them down to 3 seed pools (2,3 & 4) and putting one of each in a regional mostly by location, but the south fills up quickly so that is why we are most likely in the West. Had more Midwest teams been in the top 16 as seeded host teams, we probably would have played closer to home. Most baseball websites had WSU as one of the top 2 or 3 of the 4 seeds. Stanford didn’t get any breaks being a 2 seed, each of the teams in its bracket were fairly high up in their respective seeding pools and playing well at the end of the season.
The committee is talking about possible seeding all the teams in the future, I’m thinking Stanford would have been a fan of that this year.
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Post by raiderrunt on May 29, 2018 11:54:57 GMT -5
The NCAA baseball selection committee doesn’t seed the whole 64 teams in the tourney, only the first 16. After that they basically break them down to 3 seed pools (2,3 & 4) and putting one of each in a regional mostly by location, but the south fills up quickly so that is why we are most likely in the West. Had more Midwest teams been in the top 16 as seeded host teams, we probably would have played closer to home. Most baseball websites had WSU as one of the top 2 or 3 of the 4 seeds. Stanford didn’t get any breaks being a 2 seed, each of the teams in its bracket were fairly high up in their respective seeding pools and playing well at the end of the season. The committee is talking about possible seeding all the teams in the future, I’m thinking Stanford would have been a fan of that this year. Good points, makes sense to me. |
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Post by bballraider on May 29, 2018 18:58:46 GMT -5
Here is what a writer for D1 Baseball had to say about the Stanford Regional: Toughest Regional: Stanford. Somehow, the No. 2 national seed ended up with the toughest regional in the NCAA tournament. Wright State has earned strong marks from scouts, while Ryan Weiss is as legit of a Friday night ace as anyone in college baseball. Oh yeah, should Stanford get past the seasoned Raiders, it’ll also have to get past Baylor, which might be the hottest team in our sport, and familiar foe Cal State Fullerton. I’m not really sure what the committee was thinking with this pairing. d1baseball.com/analysis/writers-roundtable-regional-quick-takes/ |
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