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Post by keithfromxenia on Sept 8, 2019 21:35:42 GMT -5
So how did we do at reaching these goals. Sadly not well imho. If we got two teams on our definite schedule who are expected to be top 100. But we scheduled three teams who have historically been in the +300 rpi range. Plus we have two games that are nothing more than exhibition games. That is five games that we could have used to improve our resume and we did nothing at all to help us. In short we have built a schedule that could give us 25 wins and still end up a 15 seed on the wrong end of a 30 pt butt whipping.
Scheduling is tough but we could have done much better. As long as we schedule like this a 15 seed and first round wipeout is the best we will ever see. and this program could be so much more. so much more.
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Post by BasketBallJones on Sept 11, 2019 20:54:15 GMT -5
Keith, if this team finishes the season with 26-27 D1 wins, I would be shocked if they don't get at least a 13 seed. I realize the SOS may be weak, but putting up that kind of record will definitely get a seed higher than 15. There are 11 D1 OOC games, and 18 regular season HL games. Then there will be at least 1 HL Tournament game, so that makes a minimum of 30 D1 games. At 26-4 or 27-3 I guarantee the committee will take notice of that. And I write this completely without the influence of any intoxicating substances, except a heady dose of endorphins from wearing my Hunter Green and Gold glasses! Go Raiders!
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Post by refrigeratorraider on Sept 11, 2019 23:20:53 GMT -5
BasketballJones, I share your optimism for this season, but disagree about possible seeding. With this schedule, even if the Raiders were to go undefeated and win the Horizon tourney, I'm not sure they would do better than a 13-seed. Last year Abilene Christian and Montana were both 15 seeds with 27/26 wins.
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Post by keithfromxenia on Sept 12, 2019 16:59:58 GMT -5
bbj, you may be right. Last year only one 13 seed had a triple digit kenpom. the other three were mid 80’s or lower. St. Louis was the exception at 106. So our odds of getting a 13 seed are much better if we can get our ranking down into the mid 80’s.
Therein lies the problem. If we assume our starting rank is what we ended at last year (about 115), how do you see us improving our ranking? We have the potential for 2-3 non con quality wins. I like Toledo, wku and Murray if we get them down here. Beating them would help us. But we have three chronic 300+ ranked teams on the schedule that will kill us even if we beat them. Throw in the bottom half of the hl and it is going to be tough to build up our ranking. Plus we have those two wasted naia games.
Bbj that was my whole point about our schedule. We think we will be good but we do nothing to help us build a resume to impress the committee.
Bbj, any chance you will be coming down for the gulf coast showcase??
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Post by mre on Sept 12, 2019 19:17:39 GMT -5
Doesn’t the NET take into account how much you beat a team by? I think they define a large win at like 10 or more points. It probably doesn’t change things to an amount that helps a lot but beating the snot out of our yearly parasite teams is important
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Post by wsuwillie on Sept 13, 2019 8:49:08 GMT -5
Ok help me understand this. Willie posts what appears to be the accurate schedule in mid march and the official schedule is released months later. Willie do you have a mole in the athletic department?? You going up Sunday Willie?? kfx, The schedule prognosticating 'Willie' is a different person than the Browns fan Willie that you know personally. And yes...I went up Sunday...again. My home opener attendance record is now 0-18-1 |
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Post by BasketBallJones on Sept 13, 2019 10:49:54 GMT -5
Its a possibility, but if I come, then I would need an early flight out on Thanksgiving morning to be with family back here. So that makes this trip somewhat problematic.
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Post by Big D on Sept 17, 2019 7:48:47 GMT -5
The HL is releasing the full conference schedule today
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Post by willgrahamsbanked3 on Sept 17, 2019 12:05:14 GMT -5
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Post by wsuraider09 on Sept 17, 2019 14:34:09 GMT -5
Well, we all knew what the schedule was going to look like. I always like opening at home. I also like how we don't have 5 straight road games this year like we did last year. I like that we finish close to home and not out in Wisconsin. I think we've got a great shot to be a 6 game winning streak heading down to NKU. Of course, I'd feel better about ending the season at home, but to end it on the road, that's about the best possible scenario. Normally I'd be a little concerned about ending at NKU, but I don't think they will be at the same level they've been the last few years under Brannen, not to say that they won't win that game, but hopefully we will be in a position that a possible loss on 2/28 won't hurt our seeding (holding my breath).
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Post by Big D on Oct 1, 2019 18:00:25 GMT -5
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Post by Big D on Oct 1, 2019 18:00:49 GMT -5
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Post by wsutommygun on Oct 10, 2019 4:34:52 GMT -5
Central State is regular season.
According to the Horizon League thread, OldSchoolHensley has EKU and Ball State as closed scrimmages. I believe between scrimmages and exhibitions you can only have a total of 2 such things.
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Post by refrigeratorraider on Oct 15, 2019 11:20:13 GMT -5
The schedule does make it appear that the Central State game is a regular season game, but multiple press releases over the past month ignore the game almost making it appear as an exhibition game:
“Wright State opens the 2019-20 regular season with road matchups at Miami (OH) and Tennessee Tech before tipping off inside the Nutter Center on November 16 against Kent State. “
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Post by wsutommygun on Oct 15, 2019 12:13:54 GMT -5
The season officially starts on Nov 5th. Maybe the person writing for wsuraiders.com made an assumption or had KeithfromXenia proof it. Doesn't matter to me, looking forward to some action on the court.
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